UK Covid cases have exploded, but are now sharply declining

On April 28, 2021, a doctor controls a patient of Covid-19 in the intensive care unit of Covid-19 from the community hospital in Germany.

RONNY HARTMANN | AFP | Getty Images

LONDON – Britain has had the unenviable title of having one of the worst Covid-19 tariffs in the world, with cases soaring in recent months.

But its fate seems to be changing.

Less than a month ago, the UK recorded between 40,000 to 50,000 new cases every day, prompting appalling warnings from experts and officials about increasing pressure on hospitals and excessive deaths.

On October 20, Britain’s Health Minister Sajid Javid warned that Covid cases could still go up to 100,000 a day as winter progresses and doctors said the National Health Service is going to a crisis, with staff exhausted and too stressed.

Perhaps making matters worse, public health experts have warned that they are controlling a mutation in the already highly infectious delta variant that could make Covid even more virulent.

But the UK’s latest data shows the country could recover from its latest wave of cases, and experts say the UK has just seen its biggest weekly drop in the number of new Covid cases in 2021.

Biggest weekly drop this year

Government data show that although the rate of UK Covid cases remains high – and worryingly high for many people – the data appears to be improving.

On Wednesday, the UK registered 39,329 new Covid cases and in the last seven days just over 237,000 Covid cases have been reported in total. For a large number, the latter seven-day figure is almost a 15% drop from the previous seven-day period from October 28 to November 3.

According to average incidence figures from the ZOE COVID Study, which collects and analyzes Covid test data in the UK, there are currently 72,546 new daily symptomatic cases of Covid.

This represents an 18% decrease from 88,592 new daily cases last week, the study said, adding that there was a sharp decline in cases among most age groups.

“The number of daily new cases continues to show a steep decline in cases among 0-18 year olds, which is the moving group behind both the initial increases and the recent drop in total case numbers. Cases in 20-29 year olds are still .increasing but cases began to decline at the age of 35-55. Cases among those over 55 are leveling off. “

The lead scientist of the ZOE COVID Study, Professor Tim Spector, said the data is positive but needs to be kept in perspective. He also urged eligible members of the public to accept the offer of reinforcing shots, which experts believe will also help reduce Britain’s case rates.

“This decline in cases is the largest weekly decline we have seen throughout the year, and is caused by a continuing fall in cases among children over the past two weeks. However, cases remain high and, with care, we still see .high deaths because Covid takes up to 8% of hospital beds, “he said Thursday.

Spector said that as we go into the colder months, “we see a lot of disease in the population with widespread colds and still high levels of Covid” and that it was hard to know the difference between the two because of that. both have similar symptoms (cases in vaccinated people tend to be milder and include symptoms such as sneezing, headache and runny nose, similar to a cold).

The bright spot of Europe?

For much of the pandemic, Britain was a dark spot in Europe’s pandemic and it has the eighth highest Covid death toll in the world, recording 142,533 deaths to date, government data show.

The UK has also recorded more than 9.4 million Covid cases to date, having carried most of the two strong waves of the pandemic on the backs of the alpha and delta variants.

Britain’s bold authorization and launch of Covid vaccines has attracted applause (it was one of the first countries in the world to launch vaccines in December 2020), but its immunization journey has slowed this summer and slowed behind some of its neighbors. the continent. To date, 79.8% of the UK over the age of 12 have been fully vaccinated.

In neighboring the Netherlands, a pandemic advisory panel has recommended imposing the first partial blockade of western Europe since the summer, urging the Dutch government to act to curb the growing Covid cases. The government under interim Prime Minister Mark Rutte is due to decide on Friday what measures to implement.

Read more: WHO warns that Europe is once again at the epicenter of the Covid pandemic

In the warmer climates of Italy and Spain, cases are also starting to rise but at a lower level, with officials in both countries tending to prevent another wave of infections as winter approaches.

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